Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Secession

With the election of the current Socialist-in-Chief the latest form of protest is a rash of petitions on whitehouse.gov for states to "peacefully" secede from the United States.  So I thought I'd weigh in on this subject...

First is the question of whether or not it is Constitutional.  The argument against it is a Supreme Court decision, Texas v. White 1868, that ruled it unconstitutional and, of course, the Civil War that put secession down by force.  In argument for its Constitutionality is the simple fact that the surrender of the South was force, not law.  There is no actual law stating that it is illegal/unconstitutional.  True the Court did rule, but as we see now with Obamacare, the Court can make a mistake and rule in the wrong direction.

Also, how can the Court rule on the Constitutionality of an issue that is not discussed in the Constitution?  The document makes no statement about secession, one way or another.  In this case I would refer to the Constitution's preference for the States over the Federal Gov't.  The 10th Amendment gives all powers not specifically granted to the Federal Govt, and not prohibited to the States, to the States themselves or the People.  I would say the the ability of a State to secede would fall into that category.

Also, I would submit that the Constitution is not a despotic document.  It was adopted in each state only after a consensual vote of its citizens.  It did not force anyone to vote for it.  If it was not adopted against any one's will, why should we interpret it to keep a state in that manner?

That being said, I think these petitions are a stupid idea!

First, they carry no weight.  People are not proposing legislation.  The Federal Govt has no obligation to even read them.  What it does do is put every one's name, who is unhappy and angry at Obama and his administration, on easy to read lists that also have other information such as IP addresses.  All you are doing is saving Obama the time of weeding out dissenters.

Actual secession can only be declared formally by the Legislature of each individual state.  And such an action should not be taken lightly nor without fully understanding the consequences.  If there is anything that history tells us it is that nothing less than civil war will achieve secession.  Just like the previous attempt, the Federal Govt will bring the full weight and force of its resources to bear on the state in question.  The only difference is that this time, a civil war would be much much worse.  In the 1800's the Federal Govt was fighting to preserve the Union.  This time, the Govt would be fighting to suppress the condemnation of this budding Socialist "utopia" that such an action would represent.  Also, they would see it as taking resources from their already hemorrhaging social welfare programs.

If any state declares secession, the Govt will swoop down swiftly and mercilessly to crush them.

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Forward....

Well, the results are in.  Barack Obama is re-elected for 4 more years.  Liberals are jubilant, conservatives are de-moralized.  However, the time for mourning is passed.  It is time to fight for the country we love!  We conservatives, the Tea Party, those of us that believe that the Constitution and the Declaration of Independence are the most sacred documents outside the bible ever written...we ae the ones that have inherited that revolutionary spirit of our Fore Fathers.  We who favor the "animating contest of liberty" over "the tranquility of servitude"...are we ready to fight?!?  I say yes.  Just because a socialist still occupies the White House has no bearing on my ideals.

So, what should we expect in the next 4 years?  Here is my predictions:

-There is hardly any chance that Obamacare will be repealed now.  Along with Dodd-Frank, it will be implemented in full.  Where before they merely caused "uncertainty" in the market pending the election, now the Market knows what to expect.  And what to expect are higher taxes, more regulations that cost money to comply with, and a mandate to provide all inclusive healthcare for every employee that will increase the cost of hiring new employees.  Job growth, which was anemic at best, will most likely flat line before job losses rise.

-As the cost of Private Healthcare rises, as even the Obama Administration has admitted will happen, employers will begin to drop coverage for employees as the costs become too much to cope with.  Falling wages will prevent individuals from affording it n their own as well.  Healthcare providers will begin to fail and file for bankruptcy.  The whole industry will be decimated if not out-right destroyed, taking millions of jobs with them.

-After businesses halt hiring, as a last ditch effort to cut costs, the cost of complying with excessive regulation will become too much too handle.  While big businesses are able to absorb these costs in the short term, small businesses will begin to shutdown as they do not have the capital to comply.

-As businesses begin to close, the unemployment rate will rise and rise quickly.  Obama will try to cover this up by continuing to use the U3 number which only includes workers that are on unemployment and those that have looked for work in the last 4 weeks.  The U6, which is the real unemployment rate and includes the U3 people plus those that have given up looking for work and those that are marginally empoyed, is currently around 14-15% and will rise into the 20's.  This will tip us over the point where there are more people taking from the Government than are putting into it.

-Obama and the EPA will further restrict gas and oil exploration.  Permits on federal land will slow to a trickle and the EPA will start persuing legislation prohibiting exploration on private lands.  ANWAR and the outer continental shelf will continue to be off limits to our own people while permits for these areas for other countries will be rushed through.  Gas prices will rise to $6+/gallon, driving up the price of goods and service all through the Market.

-The Obama-EPA alliance will continue its plan to bankrupt the coal industry and close nuclear power plants shifting the burden of the US power grid on unproven and woefully inadequate green energy such as wind/solar/geothermal.  Home enegry costs will skyrocket into the hundreds.

-The Fed, with Obama's blessing, will continue to print money for "quantitative easing" and more stimulus legislation will be implemented.  This will kick off a period of hyper-inflation which will severly weaken, if not collapse, the value of the US dollar further rising costs of goods and services across the Market

-Harry Ried and the Democrat controlled Senate will continue to refuse to pass a federal budget continuing yearly trillion dollar deficits, ballooning the national debt.  Refusal to reign in spending combined with no plan to reduce the debt will result in more credit downgrades until this situation changes.

-As job disappear and unemployment compensation runs out, the Federal Government will aggressively expand the welfare rolls.  This will further tip the scales where even more people will be taking from the federal coffers than are paying into them.

-All these will culminate in the collapse of the US economy.  It will begin in January with "Taxmeggedon" when the Obamacare tax combines with ending tax cuts and new taxes to increase taxes by an average of $4000/household.

-As the economy declines and hardships increase, violence and chaos across the country will climb.  Obama will side-step the Republican controlled House to acquire more authority and power to himself by Executive Fiat, shredding the separation of powers enshrined in the Constitution, in the name of "keeping the peace."  As more power is centralized in the Federal Government, Individual rights will be trampled and discarded "for the greater good."

-The US will find no help from other countries as most of Europe is already holding fast to this same road to ruin.  And those that are considered allies have seen how The Obama Administration sells out their firends and stab them in the back.  Israel, now further isolated, will hold out against its enemies for a while.  However, with the certainty that Obama will not stand beside them, and the real threat of a nuclear Iran, Israel will eventually be overrun and destroyed by its Muslim neighbors.

-By the end of his second term, Obama will have solidified enough power behind him to make his final push for "change."  He will throw out as much of the Constitution as he can and implement European Socialism.  Finally, before the next election Obama will try and circumvent the "two-term rule."  We will hear pleas and testimony that he needs more time, and we can't change horse in the middle of the stream...just four more years and Obama can fix everything.  Mark my words...before Nov. 6, 2016 Obama will try and install himself as Pres. for life.

-Obama will be aided in all of this by a biased media that will lie, cover-up and screen him from any real scrutiny.

If nothing changes, and changes big, this is the path I forsee for the next four years.  I pray that I am wrong...